James Montier, GMO. James is a member of GMO’s Asset Allocation team. Prior to joining GMO in , he was co-head of Global Strategy at Société Générale. In , value investor James Montier, a member of GMO’s asset allocation team, wrote the widely cited piece The Seven Immutable Laws of. James Montier, fresh from a presentation to clients of the $85bn Boston asset manager which employs him, is wearing Darth Vader cufflinks.

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Why would I wanna go and buy some? Meb then steers the conversation toward advisors who agree that U. In the case of motnier Weimar Republic, it was the fact they had to pay repatriations to the Allied forces and had to do so in hard currency, so they had a huge supply shop and also, of course, had lost most of their capital output through the loss of the montifr.

You can look at something like Shiller PE. So, a concentration is one way of doing it. Welcome to The Meb Faber Show where the focus is on helping you grow and preserve your wealth.

Low-interest rates justify high equity evaluations. Continue explaining the results. Yeah, I tend to agree.

We use cookies to ensure that we give you the best experience on our website. So, a good example of anchoring with some German judges, and they were asked to sentence people to jail.

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What research omntier are you focused on at GMO? Even if you invest in a diversified set of them you’ll still deeply suffer at times because the blowups cluster.


This means to concentrate in the least bad asset classes. James notes that we now have the second jamse CAPE reading ever. Why am I paying you to sit on cash?

What would it take me to be wrong? The first one is concentration.

While such a bubble can make speculators extremely wealthy if only for a period of time – because putting money into what everyone knows is a ridiculous valuation is not investing, it’s speculation, and as Montier admits ” that the US equity market is obscenely overvalued can hardly be news to anyone ” – it only works as long as there is at least one more greater fool to sell to. Only 2 left in stock – order soon.

Montier is also the author of ” Behavioural Investing: I also write white papers occasionally on investment topics that pique my interest such as tail risk protection.

From our perspective, pretty much every measure, we look at shows U. Thank you very much, Meb. Has anything changed today?

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To listen to Momtier on Stitcher, click here. But to me, it is the most sensible thing to do when there is nothing to do, which is I think a good description of the current asset environment in general. Whoa, James, let me interrupt you. Best example is probably private equity.

To get better returns, what you need is to leverage up your portfolio. The value iames genius who ran Tiger back in the late s and he shut his from down in because he was using leverage and the valuation-based approach.

GMO’s James Montier’s 4 Solutions to Deal With a Terrible Market Outlook –

I went to see it last week. And you guys do so much work on valuation. The most decent thing my parents ever did to me they said growing up. I think these days it is perhaps the easiest it has ever been to do because with everybody reading online media all the time, it is very easy to only look for the opinions that happen to agree with you. My interest is in unconstrained global asset allocation, effectively a value-based approach to multi-asset allocation.


They cannot be looking at their portfolio and updating their views as they go.

Overall, the point is to look at many valuation metrics and triangulate, so to speak. If you would like to join the waiting list, complete the following form: Join us as we discuss the craft of investing and uncover new and profitable ideas all to help you grow wealthier and wiser.

When I actually starting working in markets the first paper I wrote was on excessive volatility in the bond markets i. So, to take that from an accounting framework into a kind of forecasting framework, you obviously have to say something about where you think those variables are going to go. You know, your early part of your career was mentioning so much research on behavioural investing.

What you actually end up with is an unchanged valuation, right? You have my sympathies for a start.